Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.070394 0.079174 0.088232 0.098246 0.108977 0.120105 0.132488
2025-02-23 0.059023 0.072380 0.086903 0.103733 0.122570 0.142879 0.166307
2025-03-02 0.050509 0.066894 0.085539 0.108004 0.134025 0.162926 0.197158
2025-03-09 0.040707 0.058318 0.079286 0.105505 0.136844 0.172581 0.215891
2025-03-16 0.032703 0.050711 0.073126 0.102147 0.137844 0.179508 0.231006
2025-03-23 0.029314 0.048430 0.073062 0.105803 0.146928 0.195733 0.256897
2025-03-30 0.026009 0.045788 0.072158 0.108095 0.154123 0.209580 0.279950
2025-04-06 0.023798 0.044358 0.072602 0.111927 0.163121 0.225579 0.305636
2025-04-13 0.020550 0.041013 0.070128 0.111666 0.166731 0.234840 0.323101
2025-04-20 0.019907 0.041502 0.072912 0.118398 0.179357 0.255374 0.354517
2025-04-27 0.016869 0.037864 0.069539 0.116526 0.180600 0.261528 0.368135
2025-05-04 0.015514 0.036799 0.069779 0.119548 0.188246 0.275780 0.391879
2025-05-11 0.013173 0.033902 0.067284 0.118888 0.191323 0.284731 0.409766
2025-05-18 0.012515 0.033949 0.069315 0.124802 0.203476 0.305661 0.443191
2025-05-25 0.011653 0.033503 0.070517 0.129512 0.214052 0.324674 0.474400
2025-06-01 0.009468 0.030135 0.066753 0.126657 0.213991 0.329643 0.487582
2025-06-08 0.007459 0.026705 0.062552 0.122856 0.212379 0.332399 0.497808
2025-06-15 0.006910 0.026357 0.063537 0.126975 0.222003 0.350179 0.527618
2025-06-22 0.006200 0.025508 0.063563 0.129556 0.229418 0.365034 0.553705
2025-06-29 0.005783 0.025296 0.064690 0.133868 0.239365 0.383373 0.584473
2025-07-06 0.004863 0.023610 0.062995 0.133573 0.242548 0.392521 0.603186
2025-07-13 0.004896 0.024492 0.066122 0.141135 0.257349 0.417636 0.643144
2025-07-20 0.003938 0.022377 0.063406 0.139034 0.257797 0.423048 0.657007